Numbers preview: San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies

The San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies have a history; This will be the
fifth time they’ve met in the playoffs. The Spurs have swept the Grizzlies in
three of the previous four meetings, but the Grizzlies’ win (in 2011) was one of
three times that a No. 8 seed has beaten a No. 1 seed in a best-of-seven series.

This time, for the second straight year, Spurs-Grizz is a 2-7 series. A year
ago, the Spurs’ sweep came by an average of 22 points.

The Grizz are much healthier this year, though they’re likely to be without Tony
Allen, who has a strained calf and was the primary defender on MVP candidate
Kawhi Leonard in the regular season. Once again, the Grizzlies limped into the
playoffs in more ways than one, winning only seven of their 21 games in March
and April.

The Spurs were a regular season juggernaut again. They are, seemingly, the
biggest threat to the 67-win Golden State Warriors. But San Antonio’s depth
won’t be as much of a factor in the playoffs, when matchups can dictate success
or failure. And this matchup won’t be nearly as easy as it was a year ago.

Spurs-Grizzlies series hub | Fran Blinebury’s series preview

Here are some statistical notes to get you ready for the 2-7 series in the West,
with links to let you dive in and explore more.

Pace = Possessions per 48 minutes

OffRtg = Points scored per 100 possessions

DefRtg = Points allowed per 100 possessions

NetRtg = Point differential per 100 possessions

San Antonio Spurs (61-21)

Pace: 96.4 (27)

OffRtg: 108.8 (7)

DefRtg: 100.9 (1)

NetRtg: +7.9 (2)

Regular season: Team stats | Advanced splits | Player stats | Player shooting |
Lineups

vs. Memphis: Team stats | Advanced splits | Player stats | Player shooting |
Lineups

Spurs notes:

Had the league’s best record (29-14) in games that were within five points in
the last five minutes and were one of two teams – Golden State (15-11) was the
other – with a winning record (17-14) after trailing by 10 or more points.

Allowed 101.6 points per 100 possessions in 26 games against the league’s top-10
offenses, 4.0 fewer than any other team against that group.

Led the league in 3-point percentage (39.1 percent) and catch-and-shoot 3-point
percentage (40.9 percent).

Took 29.5 percent of their shots from mid-range (between the paint and the
3-point line), the highest rate in the league. They had the league’s best field
goal percentage from outside the paint (40.5 percent), but just the sixth best
effective field goal percentage from outside the paint, because they were one of
seven teams that took more mid-range shots (2,025) than 3-point shots (1,927).
LaMarcus Aldridge and Kawhi Leonard ranked sixth and 12th in mid-range field
goal attempts.

For the second straight season, they had the league’s best aggregate bench
NetRtg (plus-8.9), which takes the per-possession plus-minus for bench players
and weighs it by minutes played.

Had the league’s biggest drop in OffRtg (3.8 points per 100 possessions) after
the All-Star break. They ranked fifth defensively (110.0 points scored per 100
possessions) before the break and 16th (106.2) after the break, finishing
seventh overall.

Kawhi Leonard’s usage rate of 31.2 percent was the highest for any Spurs player
since Tony Parker had a usage rate of 31.6 percent in the 2008-09 season.

Pau Gasol shot 54.4 percent on catch-and-shoot 3-pointers, the best mark among
players who took at least 100.

Patty Mills shot 14-for-22 (64 percent) on clutch 3-pointers, by far the best
mark among players who attempted at least 20.

Memphis Grizzlies (43-39)

Pace: 94.7 (28)

OffRtg: 104.7 (19)

DefRtg: 104.5 (7)

NetRtg: +0.1 (13)

Regular season: Team stats | Advanced splits | Player stats | Player shooting |
Lineups

vs. San Antonio: Team stats | Advanced splits | Player stats | Player shooting |
Lineups

Grizzlies notes:

One of only four teams that allowed fewer points per 100 possessions than they
did last season.

Ranked last in field goal percentage, 2-point percentage, and field goal
percentage in the restricted area.

One of two teams (Brooklyn was the other) that was better offensively on the
road than at home. Had the 27th best home offense (103.4 points scored per 100
possessions) and the 13th best road offense (105.9).

11.6 percent of possessions were post-ups, the highest rate in the league.

Had the league’s biggest increase in DefRtg after the All-Star break. They
ranked 4th defensively (102.8 points allowed per 100 possessions) before the
break and 20th (108.8) after the break, finishing seventh overall. They
regressed in regard to opponent shooting, defensive rebounding, and forcing
turnovers.

Starting lineup of Mike Conley, Tony Allen, Vince Carter, JaMychal Green and
Marc Gasol outscored their opponents by 19.6 points per 100 possessions after
the All-Star break, the second best mark among lineups that played at least 100
post-break minutes.

Most-used lineup that doesn’t include Allen or Chandler Parsons (James Ennis III
with the other post-break starters) has played just 74 minutes together, but has
outscored its opponents by 21.5 points per 100 possessions in those minutes.

Were outscored by 13.3 points per 100 possessions in 368 minutes with Conley off
the floor after the break.

The matchup

Season series: Tied 2-2 (Home team won all 4 games)

Feb. 6 @ MEM – Grizzlies 89, Spurs 74

Mar. 18 @ MEM – Grizzlies 104, Spurs 96

Mar. 23 @ SAS – Spurs 97, Grizzlies 90

Apr. 4 @ SAS – Spurs 95, Grizzlies 89 (OT)

Pace: 90.1

SAS OffRtg: 98.2 (25th vs. MEM)

MEM OffRtg: 100.2 (17th vs. SAS)

Matchup notes:

None of the four meetings were the second game of a back-to-back for either
team.

Kawhi Leonard (quad contusion) and Pau Gasol (broken finger) missed the first
meeting (Feb. 6). Tony Allen missed the last meeting with an eye injury and Mike
Conley was knocked out of that game in the fourth quarter with an eye injury of
his own.

The pace of 90.1 possessions (per team) per 48 minutes was slowest among
first-round playoff matchups.

The two teams combined to score just 88 points per 100 possessions in the four
first quarters. The Grizzlies led the first and fourth meetings, respectively,
by scores of 17-14 and 16-14 after the first quarter. But they combined to score
121 per 100 in the four third quarters.

The Grizzlies outscored the Spurs, 60-24, in second chance points (37-9 in
Memphis’ two wins).

The Spurs had the league’s best aggregate bench NetRtg at plus-8.9 overall, but
it was minus-4.5 against Memphis. Manu Ginobili’s minus-20 over the four games
was his worst plus-minus against any opponent.

According to SportVU, the players who defended each other most over the four
games were Tony Parker and Mike Conley. Parker scored 21 points on 10-for-21
shooting with Conley defending him (for 23:18), while Conley scored 18 points on
7-for-17 shooting with Parker defending him (for 23:58).

LaMarcus Aldridge shot 10-for-17 (59 percent) with JaMychal Green defending him
over the four games, but 19-for-48 (40 percent) otherwise.

John Schuhmann is a staff writer for NBA.com. You can e-mail him here, find his
archive here and follow him on Twitter.

The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its
clubs or Turner Broadcasting.

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